Current projections provided by Accuweather are indicating that the 2023 season will be near a historical average with 11 - 15 named storms.
Four to eight of those named storms are expected to have hurricane strengths, with one that has a maximum sustained wind speeds of 11 mph or greater with a rating of 3-5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
A key factor in determining where storms will make landfall each year is in areas of high pressure over the Atlantic (Bermuda Azores high).
“Even if this season were to turn out to be less active than normal, abundant warm water could lead to the development of a couple of very strong hurricanes, as we saw with Ian,” Kottlowski said. “Anyone living near or at the coast must have a hurricane plan in place to deal with what could be a life-threatening or very damaging hurricane. Now is the time to create or update your plan.”
AccuWeather forecasters say Florida is at a higher risk than other parts of the U.S.
Water temperatures are already stated to be warmer than average in the Gulf of Mexico at the end of March and contributed to the severe weather year in the United States.
The official end of hurricane season is November 30th, with the anticipated arrival of El Nino which can create late-season hurricane development this year.
Experts state it is never too early to think about a hurricane-safety plan, not only for those that live directly on the coast.
Kottlowski from AccuWeather expresses people living within 100 miles of the coastline should be mindful of their preparations as well.
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